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in the past. our poll even has the president up two in florida. so the obama team certainly optimistic and down the stretch they come to keep that sports metaphor going. >> love it. thank you. >> as for the challenger mitt romney needs to rally his troops and out gun the president's skilled operation. peter zand certificate on a plane right now with the romney campaign. he called this report for us right before takeoff. >> reporter: two stops down, three more to go today as part of the 72 hour final sprint for mitt romney here in dubuque, iowa there's been a unique opportunity on the campaign plane as we prepare to board for colorado. several of the governor's top advisers are traveling with the campaign today. of course predictions about what will happen on tuesday. there's a sense they are soaking in these final hours of a campaign that many of them have been working on during the course of the last five years. the governor here again offering bipartisan themes. he has tried to draw attention to the president's comments from yesterday in ohio we said not to boo but encouraged voters
's a big reason why barack obama's maintaining this five-point lead. look at the same quinnipiac poll, these internals are brutal for mitt romney. any way you slice it. unless you believe that quinnipiac, one of the most accurate polling that's out there is cooking the books. and if you do, change channels because you're listening to the wrong channel. >> yes. there's that. >> so there's the internals of this poll show that 52% of the people in ohio think the economy is getting better. 47% think the economy is staying the same or getting worse. and when asked who cares more about people like them, president obama leads mitt romney by almost 18 points. john heilemann, if it's ohio, ohio, ohio and the president's maintaining a five-point lead and he's ahead 2-1 in early voting in ohio based on this poll, if you assume that the people at quinnipiac are not in the tank for barack obama and are not sniffing glue and none of us at this table believe that because, again, four years ago and two years ago, quinnipiac was really one of the most accurate polls. >> yeah. >> then this is a firewal
more of it. but we have to talk about polls. there are polls putting obama ahead, polls putting romney ahead, poll that is completely contradict the other polls. a pollster is next. we've been there. that's why every bit of financial advice we offer is geared specifically to current and former military members and their families. [ laughs ] dad! dad! [ applause ] ♪ [ male announcer ] life brings obstacles. usaa brings advice. call or visit us online. we're ready to help. ♪ ♪ we're lucky, it's not every day you find a companion as loyal as a subaru. love. it's what makes a subaru, a subaru. we don't let frequent heartburn come between us and what we love. so if you're one of them people who gets heartburn and then treats day after day... block the acid with prilosec otc and don't get heartburn in the first place! [ male announcer ] one pill each morning. 24 hours. zero heartburn. >>> have you seen the presidential polls lately? that was retor tall. who hasn't? romney's in the lead. obama's not lead. it's a virtual dead heat. if you're like me, you're confused. so -- >> the
to talk about polls. there are polls putting obama ahead, polls putting romney ahead, poll that is completely contradict the other polls. a pollster is next. a crash management system and the world's only tridion safety cell which can withstand over three and a half tons. small in size. big on safety. introducing the new droid razr maxx hd by motorola. now more than ever droid does. with the blackish-blue frame and the white dots and the splattered paint pattern, your lights are on. what? [ male announcer ] the endlessly customizable 2013 smart. >>> have you seen the presidential polls lately? that was rhetorical. who hasn't? romney's in the lead. obama's not lead. it's a virtual dead heat. if you're like me, you're confused. so -- >> the 7-eleven metric, you get a red cup for the republican, a blue cup for the democrat. >> let's take a look at how pollsters get these numbers and get a better idea of where the polls stands. michael, welcome. >> thanks for having me. >> let's get wonky with it. you've heard the conversations before. we don't hold anything back. we hear peopl
at the poll that came out, president obama has a lead in the five-county areas. he has maintained that leads throughout in all of the various polls. i think the extreme positions of mitt romney, a woman's right to choose, number one, really puts him at odds with the moderates and stability in pennsylvania, and i am confident that the numbers the president will show in the suburbs will propel him to victory in pennsylvania. host: as you know, pennsylvania was referred to as philadelphia and alabama in the middle. there was this that said to make it close, mitt romney has to win big. what does he mean by that? guest: he has to win big in the central part of the state. we call it the t. there are two republican counties. it spreads across. he is going to do really well there. mitt romney is doing terrific in the t. i cannot believe our results down there. if you remember, in the primary, hillary clinton beat president obama. those people are very upset about the war on coal and the president dissing the coal business. i do not agree with josh. we are doing very well in the philadelphia suburbs.
last poll, just after the first debate -- is edging up, but obama has a steady lead. it is a democratic-leaning state these days. there has not been an awful lot of campaign activity in terms of action by the candidates. more important advertising -- they have not really targeted the state this year, unlike 2008 and the previous four cycles. host: there is an awful lot of advertising in the separate -- senate race, particularly by tom smith, the republican nominee. your polling shows that race is closer -- senator casey is still holding a lead of seven points over tom smith. what is happening in that race? caller: it is a simple matter of if you spend $17 million of your own money you can get hearing from people. senator caseous a member -- casey is a member of an institution that is not very popular these days, the congress. smith has gained traction just on the strength of his message. introducing himself to voters. that could be one of the surprises on election night. host: let's take this question today is -- two ways -- what can republicans read into the polling numbers? caller: on
washington post poll has president obama hanging on to a four-point lead. last month it was an eight point spread in virginia. in the buckeye state, a new ohio news poll has it dead even 49-49. any advantage the president had, five points, is now gone. on the trail yesterday mitt romney forced to change course his self because of the storm. after canceling three rallies in virginia, he teemed up with his running mate in ohio telling supporters only a ryan/romney could bridge the divide. >> we have to reach across the aisle. we have to find good democrats. democrats love america too. we have to reach across the aisle, find ways to bring in people from the other party, work together, collaborate, meet regularly and fight for the american people and we will. >> with democrats hammering mitt romney's opposition to the auto bailout especially in ohio, the republican candidate using a new ad to counter punch on what could be a decisive issue. >> who will do more for the auto industry? not barack obama. fact checkers concern his attacks on mitt romney are false. the truth? mitt romney has a i pla
to give up. ohio has been an obama advantage in the polls for many, many days. romney campaign say they have caught up. new poll out from ohio, consortium of newspapers that mr. romney's momentum is not an actual tie at 49-49 apiece. >> harris: carl cameron, literally from the road. once again we'll carry that event live in ohio with governor romney and paul ryan coming up. >> gregg: sit down and put on your seat belts. making me nervous. >> massive cover-up or incompetence? very strong words from senator john mccain on the administration's handling on the attack on the u.s. consulate in benghazi libya that killed four americans including our u.s. ambassador. mrz lawmaker calling for the immediate release of all surveillance video gathered during that deadly attack. national security correspondent jennifer griffin joins us live with the late. what requests went unanswered according to your sources? >> remember, my source was on the ground at the c.i.a. annex. i'm told about 9:40 when the first shots were heard, woods and other operators asked the c.i.a. base chief for permission to
that bill clinton carried in '96 and that president obama carried. >> if that poll is accurate, romney will win florida for sure, if he's going to carry i-4 by that big a margin. most indications are that he's going to win the state. however, you have to point out, the obama campaign says they're competing in all the battleground states, and they are. the president's one event today is in florida with bill clinton, 10:00 this morning. >> going to be right in the middle of the i-4 corridor. >> right in the middle. they're competing there. they're not giving up. they're using their most precious asset today, one obama visit with bill clinton to go to florida. so they're not giving up, but there's no question romney has an edge there right now. >> you usually have, mika, north florida against south florida and central florida being what makes a difference. the south florida poll out of miami-dade shows the president -- >> largest county in the state, 52%-43%. >> that's not a surprise. i will tell you, this next poll, though, is a surprise. >> all right. let's go to virginia. the latest "w
voted already. the polls are showing that obama is leading the early boat much like he did in 2008. that is an aberration from our part -- previous count. from previous elections before the 2008, typically, republicans won the early voting. we have had such a high volume now and the obama campaign is encouraging their supporters to vote early. we have seen a change in behavior when campaigns can take advantage of early voting to encourage their supporters and mobilize them over a longer period of time. that is was going on on the democrat side. if you look at the numbers, there are more republicans voting early ban in 2008. the romney campaign is not conceding the early vote as the mccain campaign did in 2008. we are seeing greater interest among republicans and we see level increases of democrats and republicans compared to 2008 in early voting. up to this point, when we look at the statistics, most of the people who have voted early so far were people who are very strong partisans and have registered with their local party. in ohio, we have data where we know that people have vot
at the latest poll that we have from october 31st, it has 49 for president obama, 49 for mitt romney, but the margin of error, is two. pennsylvania usually goes blue. what happens if pennsylvania goes red now? and will there be a contest of this election, saying hey, you know what, people were disenfranchised. what do you make of that? >> well, first of all. i know after having contacted the governor's office all the polling places are making sure that places across pennsylvania are geared up and ready to go. and hey, the power gets back on. which i know the utility company has been working hard on. or d, we utilize the generators that are available to us, and primarily through fema. so i think that we want to ensure the right to vote, all the efforts must be made to make sure the polling places, people can primarily go to the place that they normally go to vote. and that all of our efforts as government leaders, regardless of party, but certainly as mayor of the city of philadelphia, i'm going to do everything i can to make sure all of our polling places are in working, operating or
"washington post" poll shows president obama with a four-point advantage over mitt romney. it's a -- a change certainly over the 1-point lead romney enjoyed there last week. heading northward to pennsylvania, the president has a six-point lead in this new poll from the "philadelphia enquirer." ho romney's gained growned since early -- ground since early october. and finally ohio, ohio, ohio, the mother of the battleground states. the four-point advantage to obama. the latest cnn/orc poll. you have the polls and numbers, but we want to hear directly from the voters. we sent the cnn election express on the road to take the polls of voters in some of these key swing states. we're calling it the battleground bus tour. and we have cnn political contributor john avalon joining me bright and early on this sunday. fancy meeting you here, friend. what, ali velshi couldn't -- >> good morning, brooke. >> you couldn't wake alli velsh up to join you? >> this morning i drew the short straw, all good. early a.m., lexington, virginia. >> team player, appreciate it. tell me what do you at the town hall you ho
interesting that romney campaign has taken a turn there. latest polling shows president obama up four points. jim, stay where you are. we'll get back to you. christine, i want to ask you about something jim said. it is such a hot button in this state, this idea that american companies are making vehicles in china. why don't they just make them in america and ship them over? this shows a fundamental misunderstanding of the entire auto industry. for decades and decades and decades american auto companies have made cars in the countries or the regions in which they sell them. i want to remind americans, when they buy toy oat yaz and hond yaz and hyundais and they buy nissans in america that are assembled here, back home somebody says why you shipping our jobs to america? so it really shows a fundamental, fundamental misunderstanding by romney camp to try and get under people's nails about jobs. they may make jeeps in china for the chinese audience. general motors does the same thing. this is not news. >> this shows you, ali, that auto making and making things is in the dna of modern america. it
/orc poll of likely voters shows president obama with a three point lead. now that is inside the statistical margin of error. so that's about as close as it can get. and nbc "wall street journal" poll gives the president a six point lead in ohio. a little better for obama. still very close. now obama may be the top prize for the candidates right now l are other important battleground states. we'll take through over the course of the next hour in a way that only cnn can. john avalon and i traveled more than 1800 miles on cnn's battleground bus tour as the race for the white house reaches its conclusion. no mat wrer i ter where i go, t economy is the most important issue in this election. i've been traveling with john avalon. he joins me now as does my good friend christine romans. she joins me from washington. jim acosta from did he back to you, iowa, where mitt romney just landed. brianna keeler is in milwaukee, wisconsin, traveling with president obama. let's start here in ohio. the state has a very complex economy. here's some of what we've been hearing from voters on this trip. >> just a
colorado he will be sorely disappointed on election day. president obama has been leading him in the polls there for months now. he is above 50% in most of the polls i have seen. i just don't think if mitt romney is going to try and win this election in a state like colorado and the republicans think they will win that state to win this election, then the president already has this election locked in. >> i will let you july p in there, but the obama campaign wouldn't say it is in the bag. he wants his folks out to the polls 10 days from now. >> it will all go down to the fact of advocacy and getting your point of view across. what did tipper o'neil say, all politics is local? by the way, we are not hanging the whole race on colorado. if mitt romney doesn't win ohio, he is going to need to get wisconsin, new hampshire, iowa, colorado. we are looking at those scenarios. >> definitely. i agree with aping law there. i think -- angela there. the choices couldn't be more clear. if you want to roll back regulations on the banks who crashed our economy and end medicare as we know it, if you want t
. >> reporter: according to a marquette poll released president obama is up in wisconsin by eight points over mitt romney among likely voters but when you look at the people who are both likely to vote and follow politics, that lead shrinks to only two. both sides acknowledge that getting out the vote is crucial and a huge part of doing that is finding the volunteers willing to keep calling and knocking until the election. >> is this your life now until a week from tomorrow? >> we're going to keep going up until the very end, keep making calls and doing doors until the polls close. >> you're out there. i'm going to be out there more. >> ted rowlands joins us now from racine, wisconsin. how is the race looking there? >> reporter: we mentioned a poll by marquette university that had the president up eight points, a cnn poll released after that has the lead a little bit more narrow, within the margin of error. both sides agree that this is a -- an election that could go either way. the state of wisconsin could go either way and the difference will be who can get their base out to vote. >> well,
journal"/marist poll shows president obama with a two-point lead over mitt romney. that is well within the margin of victory, so basically we'll call it a dead heat, but when you go beyond the polls you see voters waiting for hours so they can cast their votes. there's been a lot of controversy over early voting in florida this year. it started a week ago and early voting ends day. our john zarella joins me now from plantation, florida. john, good morning. i understand that you voted yesterday. how long did you have to wait? >> reporter: yeah, you know, i did, and i'm really glad i voted yesterday because when i voted the line here was just back over there. i think, dominic, you can give them a shot of where i was standing, and it took me from the time i got in line to the time i walked out the door, two hours and ten minutes to vote, so if you look at where the line is now, which winds all the way around and down there, it's, we estimate, about 700 deep, and maybe about a four-hour wait for the folks to vote. it's nice out and a festive atmosphere. everybody is happy. if it gets hotte
swing state polls you see no lift at all in the obama camp pain, -- campaign. >> here's the argue. they make. he is still ahead in ohio and wisconsin, still ahead in what they call their fire wall. and even if you give romney all the swing states that they think they're going to win -- virginia, north carolina, florida -- that still only gets him to 248. throw the colorado, 257 electoral votes, needs 2 70 to win. >> couple things about the firewall. you have to question, is obama really ahead in ohio when everyone seems to acknowledge romney's big advantage among independents? this is true of a bunch of swing states. there's a question about who is really ahead. but the other issue is, this is a well-known incumbent late in the race. he is probably persuaded most of the people he is going persuade and his campaign speeches are telling you that. it's a fiercely partisan ideological message he is driving. he is not talking to independents. >> let's get a clip of that. we want to give you an illustration of what james just pointed out. >> not a five point plan by governor romney, one
in this election and see how they played out in the target state. most voters don't like barak obama and like the slulish economy that resulted from them and likely to center a less democratic electorate thap is shown in 2008 exit polls and most polls, they are tending to show nationally and independent voters going for romney. that means each party's side is relatively eating and nen partisan vote for cappedidates and independent voters break the tie. >> we have a map that is it on the screen it shows solid red as the states for romney and blue for obama and light likely obama and the pink states are light red for romney. pennsylvania, wisconsin and you say those are likely to tilt romny's way. >> wisconsin tep electorial votes is a battle ground with governor scott walker reforms affecting the bargaining terms and there was a june recall election on governor walker and he won it with 53% of the vote and his side got well organized from that. and i think that balance of enthusiasm that seems to favor republicans this year, that might enable romney to get over the line there. and pennsylvania
to begin in virginia. we've been watching this swing state so so closely. this new washington post poll shows president obama with a four-point advantage over his challenger, mitt romney. this is a change over the one-point lead romney enjoyed there in a similar poll last week. what we want to hear driktly from you in the voters in the state of virginia, so we sent cnn political contributor john avalon packing, and he hit the road on board the express to ask college students not just who they're voting for, but why. >> coming from home where i was raised by a single dad, i mean, he in the last three years that i have gone to college has apologized to me over and over again just for what a mess the economy has become, and he takes it very personally, and he says i'm sorry that you have such a mess to clean up. >> my opinion is the older folks beyond us they didn't do their job. they didn't manage the economy. they didn't manage things. they just spent, spent, spent. they didn't plan for us, and now we have to clean up the mess that they made, and i really believe that in the next ten, 15
polls, it looks like president obama is headed for a victory in the electoral college. it may be that the hurricane, the big storm is the october surprise that could swing the election either way. but president obama is tracking ahead of mitt romney in many of the important swing states and the big question is, does president obama stop campaigning because will he take a big political hit if he starts doing some of that? and mitt romney has to worry about going into any of the the other states that will make him look too political for campaigning in the middle of the storm. that's the big question na we're facing right now. but right now president obama is ahead in the state whereas mitt romney is ahead nationally. >> geraldo: erin, quickly, i've got 30 seconds, florida has romney over obama by 1 1/2, more or less. virginia has romney obama tied. ohio has obama over romney 48 funny 2 to 46.3, wisconsin has obama over romney by 2.3 percentage points so ladies and gentlemen, erin says that the governor is on track to win the popular vote, but as of right now, the president look
dead-even right now which we've seen in a number of polls. both the romney-ryan ticket and obama-biden ticket, tied 46-46. this is a squeaker, folks. that number really has not changed much over the last 30 days. when we break that down among independent voters which is a lot of focus is on, you have governor romney ahead of this key voting bloc by 7%. as you can see president obama made gains with independents since october as well. his number has gone from 32 to 39. let's bring in some of our favorite experts, doug schoen, former pollster to president bill clinton. monica crowley, radio talk show host and both are fox news contributors. five days to go, this thing is so tight. if people aren't talking about sandy they're talking about who they think will win this thing. quick initial thought from you both and then i want to cruise through some of these polls. doug, where do we stand? >> oh, i think we are suggest that we're in a tie. the swing state data showing ever so slight obama lead, within the margin of error. ohio couple points up. through the midwest, wisconsin, michiga
in iowa? guest: that's a really big deal in iowa. barack obama, if you look at the polling data, he has built a pretty significant lead among women voters. these are issues women care a lot about. barack obama is directly addressing them, directly saying, if you want your rights as a woman to plan your own life, your rights as a woman, to table to assert yourself, you better vote for me, because mitt romney will rein in those rights. that issue resonates very strongly around iowa. women voters can make a difference in this election. if you look at polling, the polling among male voters is pretty even. among women voters, barack obama has a pretty strong lead. this election in iowa and in many other states, i think, is going to be a turn out game -- who can get their voters to the polls on election day. barack obama, to say, i have a lead with women voters, so let's make sure we get them out on election day and let's give them a reason to show up. this is what he thinks is the reason women will show up and vote for employer. host: a story in the quad city times -- iowa is the focus of ou
more of a problem for the president. if there's no power at polling stations. if people just decide too much hassle, i can't vote. pennsylvania is an absentee ballot state but not ann early voting state. let's move over to ohio. this is a place where the obama campaign worked very hard on early voting in the african-american communities, especially in the cleveland area. you see cleveland, the cleveland suburbs, and to a lesser degree down here to the south in the akron area, people without power. how did they vote in 2008 and how do they tend to vote in presidential policies? across the top of the state, heavy democratic areas. our producer called out to cuyahoga today. early voting down today than it was four years ago. so you see some obvious immediate impacts. the question is, again, with a few more days to go, five more d days, can they get this fixed come election day? in the northern virginia suburbs, it tells the story. a lot of people out in the northern washington, d.c. area, fairfax county, arlington. you go back four years, you see all that blue. this is the area most critic
. in one way president obama's been -- has been able to, you know, kind of stop whatever poll momentum romney seemed to be getting or at least we were all talking about 50 different polls from ohio. you don't hear about them anymore. since president obama had a lead in most of these swing states, i think political analysts would say it is probably -- doesn't hurt president obama any. on the other side of the net mitt romney has been able to unpack in ohio for a few days, shake a few more hands kiss a few more babies, give a few more press conferences and speeches there. we'll see how it plays out in election night. right now i don't think it's had the impact on this election. it is just -- and votingwise. at least there's no evidence of it yet. we'll see, you know, the stock market opens tomorrow. how will the markets respond to this? you know, you can have a -- the economy rebounding and the president with good p.r., could be a dismal stock market going down and people get jittery and think they want change. but i could
presidential candidates will be in ohio today. the latest polls show president obama hold a slight lead in a majority of the battleground's contest and won the endorsement thursday of michael bloomberg, the politically independent mayor of new york city. >>> emergency workers believe they have contained a fire in tanker cars that derailed this week in kentucky. hundreds of people remain out of their homes, including the entire town of west point. the rail car contained a volatile chemical used to make the rubber and tires. >>> federal health officials say nine more people have been diagnosed with fungal meningitis linked to tainted steroid injections. at least 377 people have been sickened in 19 states. however, the cdc lowered the number of deaths from the outbreak to 28 instead of 29, and federal regulators say they have found contamination in more drugs made by a massachusetts pharmacy tied to the outbreak. >>> a new medical study finds that hospital patients routinely have their sleep disrupted by endless in-room activity overnight. yale researchers also found noise levels that exce
swing states, those numbers have been the same way. in colorado our latest polling shows barack obama down by four points. these numbers are moving in similar fashion across most of the states, with one big exception, ohio. in a high of the numbers show that it is 48-48. there is great enthusiasm from republican voters across the country. the democrats appear to have a stronger ground game and we are seeing that especially in ohio. before we get into all of that, we have two guests and they've both say they have said things they regret they have informed me that is not accurate. governor rendell is someone who speaks his mind freely on nbc and obviously served as governor of the great state of pennsylvania. i want to start by asking them about their home states. can mitt romney win? >> i would say yes the pennsylvania is in play. and i would say that it is probably the best bellwether of what happened over the last three weeks. the their campaign is particularly active in a pennsylvania. they have not been running many television ads because most campaigns thought it was going to be i
-hitting in some key cities like orlando. >> i was supposed to be the warm-up man for president obama today. but that storm on the east coast had other ideas. >> reporter: polls show the presidential race too close to call, and the last full week of campaigning was supposed to be an all-out sprint for both candidates. instead, they're watching the weather. republican challenger mitt romney canceled his tuesday events and shortened monday events to two stops. >> sandy is a devastating hurricane by all accounts and a lot of people will be facing some real tough times as a result of sandy's fury. >> reporter: romney encouraged supporters at a rally in ohio to help storm centers. >> our victory center is collecting items and cash we can send along to the red cross. >> reporter: four states that may decide the election are in the path of the storm. tara mergener, cbs news, washington. >>> up next, your tuesday morning massive waves kicked up by hurricane sandy. w is plucked from massive waves kicked up by hurricane sandy. neutrogena® rapid wrinkle repair visibly reduces fine lines and wrinkles
of the national polls the independent voters are going for romney over obama by a half dozen to a dozen points f. that is true and it's certainly one of the questions i'm going to ask on sunday. we'll have david axelrod on, chief strategist for the obama campaign. pitch beason, director of the romney campaign. if it's true that independents are breaking for romney can obama win? that is one of the questions we'll be asking. martha: it's a great question and we'll look forward to hearing you ask it. bill: and waiting for the answer. martha: we'll watch their faces and see who we see is really revealing what is going on in their internal polling. we'll see you in the coming days a lot. >> there is a question of rich beason. -p romney's political director. it will be interesting to hear from him. and david axelrod will be sitting down with chris wallace as well. we'll see what mr. axelrod says. this is going to be an interesting several days. bill: maybe we're here late on tuesday night. maybe we are here into early wednesday morning. that's why we watch. ohio you know is critical, battleground sta
on monday and a dispatch poll out of ohio showing it tied up in ohio. team obama tells us you cannot believe these numbers. this is a manipulation by the folks that are on team romney to make us think these states are in play when in fact they are not. how are we to know the truth? >> we are not to know the truth until tuesday, here is the real truth, there is plenty of panic in chicago and boston, both sides here, this is total white knuckle time down to the end, it's what i live for, it's these moments when both campaigns are nervous about what is going on, that makes for good politics. megyn: that's what -- those of us who cover the race, that's when we win. >> exactly. megyn: all right, chris, thank you. >> you bet. megyn: the transit system that brings workers in and out of new york city moves more than 9 million passengers a day, 9 million. and it may be weeks until this is fully restored. we'll show you what that could mean for your bottom line just ahead. plus, the debate over one of the most offensive ads of the campaign season just ahead. >> if your voter suppression throughout thi
have to give barack obama a mild edge, but again, like everything that is happening nationally, it's getting very tight, and i wouldn't be shocked if mitt romney pulled off a shocker next tuesday. megyn: michigan? one poll showing it within three points in michigan. >> well, look, this is a guy you listen to about michigan. he knows how the state works. in fact this is of course the native state of mitt romney. you're right, i think that it's still the most likely scenario is whoever wins ohio is going to win the presidency, but things are getting so weird and these numbers are getting so contradictory and no scam -bld that you have to start thinking about these possibilities about what if mitt romney lost ohio by an hair if he was to pick up a rich state like michigan then the map becomes viable again. it's getting weird out there. megyn: it was a 14 point race a month ago now it's showing three points n. minnesota it was eight points in president obama's favor a month ago, now it's as tight as 3 points. in pennsylvania it was nine points or more a mow ago, some polls are showing
. it all comes as the latest abc news poll shows this is a dead heat, mitt romney, ahead of president obama by just one point, 49% to 48%. and with a race this tight, a big question tonight -- could the hurricane upend this final stretch? here's abc's senior political correspondent jon karl tonight. >> reporter: it's mother nature's october surprise. a storm so big and so destructive, it could throw the campaign's final week into chaos. >> the storm will throw a little bit of havoc into the race. >> reporter: for president obama, it meant canceling two upcoming events and visiting fema headquarters, vowing an immediate response to the storm. >> we're going to cut through red tape, we're not going to get bogged down with a lot of rules. we want to make sure we are anticipating and leaning forward. >> reporter: there are political stakes, too. a chance for the president to show decisive leadership or to take the blame if the response is bungled. all told, 16 campaign events have already been canceled. mitt romney canceled three in virginia, moving westward to ohio, where he met up with paul r
.s. senate race. brown trailed by five points a month ago. and while the same poll shows president obama with a 14-point lead over mitt romney, 52-38, the former governor's support has grown by eight points there since last month. >> mike, i saw another poll out maybe from the university of new hampshire. i hope i'm not misquoting it. they took a poll in this race, 45%/45%. >> yeah. >> you know what? you've got to give scott brown huge props. i don't think any of us expected him to stay in the race this long with -- >> he's done an usual thinusuali think for a candidate. scott brown has managed to maintain his personal favorability. people like him. they might disagree with him ideologically, but people like him. his favorability rating, he's maintained that while going on the attack against elizabeth warren. he said some really brutal personal attack ads on elizabeth warren. that race, my sense of it is going to come down to how well the president does in massachusetts. one of the key points in that story is that the president of the united states was leading governor romney by 23 to 25
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